AbraCalc

Retirement Withdrawal Calculator

Calculate how much you can withdraw from your retirement portfolio each year and month using the 4% safe-withdrawal rule.

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How to use this tool

  1. Enter the value of your retirement portfolio at the start of retirement.
  2. Choose a withdrawal rate (4% is standard; lower is safer for long retirements).
  3. Read your annual and monthly withdrawal amounts.
  4. Check the 'years at 0% growth' figure as a conservative floor.

The 4% rule is the best-known guideline for retirement spending. Enter your portfolio and rate to see your annual and monthly withdrawal — and a worst-case estimate of how long the money lasts.

Formula

Annual withdrawal = Portfolio value × (Withdrawal rate ÷ 100).

Monthly withdrawal = Annual withdrawal ÷ 12.

Years at 0% growth = Portfolio ÷ Annual withdrawal = 100 ÷ Withdrawal rate. This is a worst-case floor; with positive real returns the portfolio is designed to last far longer (the 4% rule targets 30+ years).

How it works

The 4% rule comes from the Trinity Study and William Bengen's research on historical U.S. market returns. It found that withdrawing 4% of an initial balanced portfolio in the first year, then adjusting that dollar amount for inflation each subsequent year, survived almost every 30-year retirement window in the historical record.

This calculator shows the first-year withdrawal those rules imply, broken down to a monthly figure for budgeting, plus a simple 'years at zero growth' floor — how long the money would last if it earned nothing at all. That floor is intentionally pessimistic; the point of the 4% rule is that real-world returns extend the portfolio well beyond it.

Use a lower rate (3–3.5%) for very long or early retirements, where sequence-of-returns risk is higher, and a higher rate only if you have flexible spending or other income. Reviewed by the AbraCalc Retirement Desk against the published 4%-rule methodology.

Worked example

$1,000,000 portfolio at the 4% rule

  1. Annual withdrawal = $1,000,000 × 0.04 = $40,000.
  2. Monthly withdrawal = $40,000 ÷ 12 = $3,333.33.
  3. Years at 0% growth = $1,000,000 ÷ $40,000 = 25 (this is also 100 ÷ 4).

Annual withdrawal: $40,000 — about $3,333.33 per month, lasting 25 years even with no growth.

Annual withdrawal by portfolio size and withdrawal rate

Rate$250,000$500,000$750,000$1,000,000
3%$7,500$15,000$22,500$30,000
3.5%$8,750$17,500$26,250$35,000
4%$10,000$20,000$30,000$40,000
4.5%$11,250$22,500$33,750$45,000
5%$12,500$25,000$37,500$50,000

Key terms

Safe withdrawal rate
The percentage of your initial portfolio you can withdraw each year (inflation-adjusted) with a high probability of not running out over a long retirement.
4% rule
A withdrawal-rate guideline: take 4% of your starting portfolio in year one, then adjust that dollar amount for inflation annually.
Sequence-of-returns risk
The danger that poor market returns early in retirement permanently shrink a portfolio that withdrawals are draining at the same time.
Inflation adjustment
Increasing each year's withdrawal to keep pace with rising prices so your real spending power stays constant.

Frequently asked questions

What is the 4% rule?
The 4% rule says you can withdraw 4% of your initial retirement portfolio in the first year, then adjust that dollar amount for inflation each year, with a high chance the money lasts 30+ years.
Is 4% still safe today?
It remains a reasonable planning baseline, but some researchers suggest 3–3.5% for early retirees or periods of high valuations. Flexible spending and other income sources can support a higher rate.
Why does the calculator show 'years at 0% growth'?
It's a worst-case floor showing how long the pot lasts if it earns nothing. In reality positive returns are expected to extend it well beyond this number — that is the whole basis of the 4% rule.
Should I withdraw monthly or annually?
Either works. Many retirees set up automatic monthly transfers for budgeting; the monthly figure here is simply the annual amount divided by 12.

References & sources